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🦀🦍≢ (carcinopithecus@x0r.be)'s status on Sunday, 06-Feb-2022 11:48:44 UTC 🦀🦍≢
in reply to
- Doug Webb
@douginamug @alexandra neither do i, but i guess it's something about the problem being bad enough to draw our attention but not so irreparably bad that it doesn't?

In conversation Sunday, 06-Feb-2022 11:48:44 UTC from chirp.cooleysekula.net permalink
- Terry Hancock (terryhancock@mastodon.art)'s status on Sunday, 06-Feb-2022 11:48:44 UTC Terry Hancock
  in reply to
  - Doug Webb
  @carcinopithecus
  Yeah, that tracks. You hear about the Linux problems because we fix them and keep going. With proprietary problems, people just give up on them and use something else (the plane goes down).
  @douginamug @alexandra
  
  In conversation Sunday, 06-Feb-2022 11:48:44 UTC permalink
  
  Santa Claes 🇸🇪🇭🇰🎅 likes this.
- Doug Webb (douginamug@mastodon.xyz)'s status on Sunday, 06-Feb-2022 11:48:46 UTC Doug Webb
  
  @alexandra @carcinopithecus you're talking about this survivorship bias example, right? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias (bomber example)
  I don't quite get the link, but would like to!
  In conversation Sunday, 06-Feb-2022 11:48:46 UTC permalink
  Attachments
  1. Survivorship bias
    
    Survivorship bias or survival bias is the logical error of concentrating on the people or things that made it past some selection process and overlooking those that did not, typically because of their lack of visibility. This can lead to some false conclusions in several different ways. It is a form of selection bias. Survivorship bias can lead to overly optimistic beliefs because failures are ignored, such as when companies that no longer exist are excluded from analyses of financial performance. It can also lead to the false belief that the successes in a group have some special property, rather than just coincidence (correlation "proves" causality). For example, if three of the five students with the best college grades went to the same high school, that can lead one to believe that the high school must offer an excellent education when, in fact, it may be just a much larger school instead. This can be better understood by looking at the grades of all the other students from that high school, not just the ones who made the top-five selection process. Another kind of survivorship bias would involve thinking that an incident was not all that dangerous...