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LinuxWalt (@lnxw48a1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864} (lnxw48a1@nu.federati.net)'s status on Thursday, 19-Mar-2020 23:33:46 UTC LinuxWalt (@lnxw48a1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864}

I didn’t dig deeper, so maybe his model includes such factors as a lifelong weakened state for some #COVID-19 / #2019-nCoV survivors. https://jameshfisher.com/2020/03/14/time-is-running-out-to-catch-covid19/ [jamesfisher com] ... time is running out on it being “rational” to intentionally catch #coronavirus.

I suppose he’s not being serious, as even he notes that he should avoid the disease for the sake of his personal contacts. #SARS-CoV-2
In conversation Thursday, 19-Mar-2020 23:33:46 UTC from nu.federati.net permalink
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1. Time is running out to catch COVID-19
  
  from jameshfisher.com
  
  Your best chance for survival is to catch COVID-19 now. But the window of opportunity is closing! In approximately two weeks, the rational strategy will switch from catch it now to avoid it forever. In this post, I show a compartmental simulation of COVID-19, with interactive parameters that you can play with. I show a nice “backpropagation” algorithm that calculates death probabilities in compartmental models, which lets us analyze optimal selfish strategies. I find that there are four phases during epidemics, each with its own optimal strategy.

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